Inside and Out: Is It All Normalizing?
February 10, 2011 1 Comment
When I first arrived in downtown Cairo in the early morning of February 5th, the aftermath of the previous days of conflict was still very tangible. All the shops with windows as their entire storefront, which make up a very high percentage of shops here, were completely whited-out with some sort of diluted paint to prevent looters from seeing inside the shops. The other shops which weren’t so lucky as to still have unbroken windows had taped up cardboard in their place as a temporary repair. There were groups of men carrying makeshift weapons patrolling the blocks where their shops were located acting as their own personal security forces. The renowned crowds of the Cairo streets and the constant sound of horns were definitively missing. As one of the few people walking down the street, and certainly the only foreigner, I was stopped and required to have my bag and passport checked by the army.
From the window of my hotel room today I can see scores of people on the street carrying colorful shopping bags and can hear the terrible consequence of absent traffic lights on Cairo’s once again busy streets. Nearly all the shops have washed the white paint from their still intact windows and repaired all the broken ones. With banks open again and the reemergence of uniformed police it seems that commerce is flowing nearly as smoothly as it ever has. There are still not many foreigners but walking alone hasn’t at all been a problem for me in the past couple days. The state TV channels desperately want us to believe everything has gone back to normal and I really have to wonder if it has.
The protests and occupation of Tahrir Square have carried on into their 17th day now and although they have grown in numbers, there hasn’t been much of an expansion in territory except for the sit-in happening at the Parliament Building and a few remote factory occupations. For many reasons it is good that the barricades of Tahrir have remained firmly in place but sadly these strong borders seem to also act as a material manifestation of isolation. There is a very well defined inside and out. Aside from significant traffic detours, it’s possible for many Cairenes to go about their daily lives without being disrupted by the protests of thousands. This continuance of business roughly as usual doesn’t give the protesters much leverage against the government whose main immediate goal is to return to stability and normalcy.
Even inside Tahrir there has been a feeling of security and regularity that has facilitated many more casual visits to the square and the settling down of many occupiers there. The vendors have really set up shop and have more or less routinized the cleaning and/or restocking of their equipment and supplies. Of course things are always being added to and changed within the square but for those who have been coming everyday for weeks it’s get harder and harder to tell the days apart. Unfortunately it appears to me that the window of opportunity for this movement is closing slowly unless this sense of normalcy begins to vanish from both sides of the barricades.
There are two main ways I can see this happening: either something drastically different takes place inside or around the square or the protesters manage to occupy more spaces other than Tahrir. With the development of many workers’ unions going on strike today with plans to continue at least through tomorrow this might significantly help in the latter. And with a very strong call out to protesters from all parts of Egypt to congregate in Tahrir for tomorrow’s ‘Friday of Martyrs’ this could provide the potential for mass action originating from the square that would help in the former. The most terrible action that could break this sense of normalcy, unfortunately in a very negative way, is the very real chance of increased state repression with threats of military intervention coming in from Vice President Suleiman and Foreign Minister Abul Gheit. Already there are reports of up to 100 tanks stationing in a suburb of Cairo with the likely intention of trying to prevent tomorrow’s protest.
It seems to me that tomorrow could be a very decisive day. Hopefully the rarity of a thunderstorm doesn’t occur again tomorrow.